Kalshi Live Agent LIVE

models: nba=nba-pbp, wnba=wnba-pbp, ncaam=poisson, ncaaw=poisson

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Rules / Guardrails

Mode: LIVE — places real orders
Leagues: nba, wnba, ncaam, ncaaw
Models by league: nba=nba-pbp, wnba=wnba-pbp, ncaam=poisson, ncaaw=poisson
Budget: $50 bankroll, recycled by realized P&L (wins grow it, losses shrink it)
Stop-loss: exits the process entirely if cumulative realized P&L reaches -$50
Position sizing: never buys if it would push cash committed to open positions over the current bankroll
Rate limit: at most one buy per virtual agent per cycle (repeat buys on the same game allowed — each is made on fresh information)
Taker-only: orders are immediate-or-cancel at the current ask (never rests on the book)
Minimum edge to buy: net-of-Kalshi-fees expected gain > $0.025
Basketball timing: won't bet until the 1st quarter is over (period >= 2)
Virtual agents: 4, each on an independent 15-min buy cycle, offset by 1/4 of a cycle (~3.8 min) from each other
Order breaker: an auth/compliance rejection from Kalshi disables all further live orders until restart
Poll interval: every 10s

Ticker	League	Score	Q	Time	Our P (EV)	Market Odds (bid/ask)	Net Edge

League	Matchup	Starts

Agent	Phase	Window Start	Bought This Cycle

Agent	Ticker	League	Model	Matchup	Team	Entry $	Fee $	Status	P&L	Bought